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Analysis of spatial patterns of oak decline in cork oak woodlands in Mediterranean conditions

Analyse des modèles spatiaux de dépérissement du chêne dans les forêts de chêne liège dans les conditions méditerranéennes

Abstract

  • • Cork oak mortality is a recurrent problem in southwestern Portugal. Despite the perception of increasingly visible damage in oak woodlands on drought-prone sites, the role of the various environmental factors in their decline is not clear.

  • • To describe the spatial patterns of cork oak (Quercus suber L.) mortality, a cork oak mortality index (MI) was determined for each landscape feature (agroforestry system, soil type, slope and aspect) using a GIS approach. To achieve this goal, a logistic regression model was formulated analyzing interactions between landscape attributes and allowing a prediction of cork oak mortality.

  • • Maximum values of MI were found in (i) shrublands and open woodlands with shrub encroachment (MI 6 and 3, respectively), where competition for soil water between tree and understory increases; and (ii) on lower slopes in the rounded hilltops and smooth hillsides or shallow soils where access to groundwater resources during summer drought is difficult.

  • • The model highlighted the importance of the agroforestry systems on cork oak mortality and may be used to identify sensitive areas where mitigation actions should be employed in a scenario of increasing drought severity in these Mediterranean ecosystems.

Résumé

  • • La mortalité du chêne liège est un problème récurrent dans le sud-ouest du Portugal. Malgré la perception de dommages de plus en plus visibles dans les forêts de chênes sur les sites propices à la sécheresse, le rôle des différents facteurs environnementaux dans leur déclin n’est pas clair.

  • • Pour décrire les schémas spatiaux de la mortalité du chêne liège (Quercus suber L.), un indice de mortalité des chênes lièges (MI) a été déterminé pour chaque élément du paysage (système agroforestier, type de sol, pente et exposition) en utilisant une approche SIG. Pour atteindre cet objectif, un modèle de régression logistique a été formulé pour analyser les interactions entre les attributs du paysage et permettre une prédiction de la mortalité du chêne liège.

  • • Les valeurs maximum des MI ont été trouvées dans (i) les zones arbustives et les forêts claires avec empiètement d’arbustes (MI 6 et 3, respectivement), où la concurrence pour l’eau du sol entre les arbres et le sous-bois s’accroît ; et (ii) dans le bas des pentes du sommet des collines arrondies et les pentes douces de coteaux ou sur les sols peu profonds où l’accès aux ressources souterraines en eau est difficile en période de sécheresse estivale.

  • • Le modèle a mis en évidence l’importance des systèmes agroforestiers dans la mortalité des chêneslièges et peut être utilisé pour identifier les zones sensibles où des actions de mitigation devraient être employées dans un scénario d’augmentation de la sévérité des sécheresses dans ces écosystèmes méditerranéens.

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Costa, A., Pereira, H. & Madeira, M. Analysis of spatial patterns of oak decline in cork oak woodlands in Mediterranean conditions. Ann. For. Sci. 67, 204 (2010). https://0-doi-org.brum.beds.ac.uk/10.1051/forest/2009097

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